Analysis of long-term observations of NO\(_x\) and CO in megacities and application to constraining emissions inventories

Abstract

Long-term atmospheric NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratios in megacities provide evaluations of emission inventories. A fuel-based emission inventory approach that diverges from conventional bottom-up inventory methods explains 1970–2015 trends in NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratios in Los Angeles. Combining this comparison with similar measurements in other U.S. cities demonstrates that motor vehicle emissions controls were largely responsible for U.S. urban NO\(_x\)/CO trends in the past half century. Differing NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratio trends in U.S. and European cities over the past 25 years highlights alternative strategies for mitigating transportation emissions, reflecting Europe’s increased use of light-duty diesel vehicles and correspondingly slower decreases in NO\(_x\) emissions compared to the U.S. A global inventory widely used by global chemistry models fails to capture these long-term trends and regional differences in U.S. and Europe megacity NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratios, possibly contributing to these models’ inability to accurately reproduce observed long-term changes in tropospheric ozone.

Analysis of long-term observations of NO\(_x\) and CO in megacities and application to constraining emissions inventories

B. Hassler, B.C. McDonald, G.J. Frost, A. Borbon, D.C. Carslaw, K. Civerolo, C. Granier, P.S. Monks, S. Monks, D.D. Parrish, I.B. Pollack, K.H. Rosenlof, T.B. Ryerson, E. von Schneidemesser, M. Trainer

Geophysical Research Letters, 2016

Long-term atmospheric NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratios in megacities provide evaluations of emission inventories. A fuel-based emission inventory approach that diverges from conventional bottom-up inventory methods explains 1970–2015 trends in NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratios in Los Angeles. Combining this comparison with similar measurements in other U.S. cities demonstrates that motor vehicle emissions controls were largely responsible for U.S. urban NO\(_x\)/CO trends in the past half century. Differing NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratio trends in U.S. and European cities over the past 25 years highlights alternative strategies for mitigating transportation emissions, reflecting Europe’s increased use of light-duty diesel vehicles and correspondingly slower decreases in NO\(_x\) emissions compared to the U.S. A global inventory widely used by global chemistry models fails to capture these long-term trends and regional differences in U.S. and Europe megacity NO\(_x\)/CO enhancement ratios, possibly contributing to these models’ inability to accurately reproduce observed long-term changes in tropospheric ozone.

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