An empirical approach for the prediction of daily mean PM10 concentrations

An empirical modelling approach for predicting daily mean PM10 concentrations using meteorological and traffic variables, providing a computationally efficient method for air quality forecasting.

An empirical approach for the prediction of daily mean PM10 concentrations

G.W. Fuller, D.C. Carslaw, H.W. Lodge

Atmospheric Environment, 2002

An empirical model is devised to predict concentrations of PM₁₀ at background and roadside locations in London. Factors to calculate primary PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 concentrations are derived from annual mean NOx, PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ measurements across London and south-east England. These factors are used to calculate daily means for the primary and non-primary PM₁₀ fractions for the London area. The model provides accurate predictions of daily mean PM₁₀ concentrations and EU Directive limit values across a range of site types from kerbside to rural, offering a practical and computationally efficient method for air quality forecasting.

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